As Hillary Clinton enjoyed another Saturday nap, Donald Trump laid out a bold action plan for his first 100 days in office as president during a speech at historic Gettysburg, Pennsylvania.
After vowing to end decades of entrenched government corruption, Trump said he will enact Congressional term limits, renegotiate unfavorable trade agreements, cut taxes for the middle class, and jump-start the economy by adding new jobs.
Trump’s Gettysburg address, which he billed as a “Contract with the American Voter,” laid out exactly what the billionaire plans to do during his first 100 days as president.
“It is a contract between myself and the American voter and begins with restoring honesty, accountability and change to Washington,” said Trump (see video).
If elected, Trump would be the first president whose lifestyle as POTUS is a downgrade from his current lavish standard of living.
Unlike Hillary, who used her stint as Secretary of State to make $150 million, Trump vowed not to use political office to enrich himself.
Trump proposed the following measures:
- Propose a constitutional amendment to impose term limits on all members of Congress
- A ban on White House officials lobbying on behalf of a foreign government
- Ban foreign lobbyists from raising money for U.S. elections
- Renegotiate NAFTA or withdraw from the deal
- Cancel all federal funding to Sanctuary Cities
- Deport the 2 million criminal illegal immigrants from the country
- Suspend immigration from terror-prone regions where vetting cannot safely occur.
While Trump is trailing Hillary in most national polls, two respected professors with near-perfect accuracy records on presidential elections predicted Donald Trump will beat Hillary Clinton.
Allan Lichtman, a professor of history at American University, has correctly predicted the winner of the popular vote in every presidential election since 1984.
Lichtman, who hates Trump, dismisses polls and instead relies on a system of true/false statements he calls the “Keys to the White House” to determine the projected winner.
This year, Lichtman’s model picks Trump to win, the Washington Post reported.
Similarly, Helmut Norpoth, a political science professor at Stony Brook University in New York, says Trump has an 87% chance of winning based on his statistical model, which has predicted the winner of the popular vote 100% of the time since it was launched in 1996.
Norpoth first predicted that Trump is a lock to win the presidency back in March 2016 based on his statistical analysis. He stands by his original projection.
Helmut Norpoth’s statistical model, called the Primary Model, factors in the results of the primary elections as well as historical swings of the electoral pendulum to predict an outcome.
Norpoth says both statistics favor Trump, as RevoRepublic has reported:
“What favors the GOP in 2016 …. is the cycle of presidential elections. After two terms of Democrat Barack Obama in the White House, the electoral pendulum is poised to swing to the GOP this year.”
In other words, the same political party rarely remains in power for three consecutive terms, especially when (like today) there’s a stagnant economy, mounting racial tensions, and escalating geopolitical threats.
Professor Norpoth said today’s polls aren’t very accurate because they rely on questionnaires done via phone calls to land lines.
Many people don’t have land phones anymore. And those that do often don’t answer their phones when pollsters call, so the polls resulted touted on TV don’t provide an accurate picture of voter preferences.
Norpoth — who has a Ph.D. in political science from the University of Michigan —said his statistical model has a 96% rate of accuracy when analyzing all U.S. presidential elections dating back to 1912.
“For elections from 1912 to 2012, the Primary Model picks the winner every time except in 1960 [when John F. Kennedy defeated Richard Nixon],” said Norpoth, co-author of The American Voter Revisited.
(Image credits: YouTube screengrab, Twitter)